Gaffr Weekly 30/03/2021

By @cm_fantasy

Player of the Week

Aden Flint – Cardiff – 4.6m

Flint has had an injury plagued campaign which saw his season long loan to Sheffield Wednesday cut short in January. He has however been back in the Cardiff team since the middle of February and at 4.6m could be a good value pick for the run-in. GW 38 was the highlight of the season so far for him as he bagged 15 points in the South Wales Derby away at Swansea with a goal, clean sheet and maximum bonus points. Cardiff play at home to Nottingham Forest in GW39 before Flint goes back to Hillsborough in GW40.  

Team of the Week

Watford & Sheffield Wednesday

If we go literally by the total points scored then see my last post – Watford with the big win and again the Gaffr points not coming where you might expect and from different players to the previous week. They remain in great form but who do you pick from them? If you can get it right for the run-in you’ll be hugely rewarded I think but it’s a tough call to make.

The result of the week for me was Sheffield Wednesday’s shock away win at play-off chasing Barnsley. The win was Darren Moore’s first in charge of the Owls and saw a 16 point haul for striker Jordan Rhodes (5.2m) who scored a brace. Rhodes has been a top striker at this level for many years and if Moore can get him fit and firing for the remaining games maybe Wednesday are not doomed to relegation just yet. Wednesday go to Watford in GW39 followed by the visit of Cardiff in GW40. Tough looking games but this is the Championship, the league where only one of the top 6 won in GW38 while the bottom 3 took 7 points from 9 away from home! 

Pick of the Week

Ivan Toney – Brentford – 10.5m

GW39 – Huddersfield A, GW40 – Birmingham H

Brentford look to have the best pair of fixtures from the front runners over easter playing 2 strugglers in Huddersfield and Birmingham so Toney looks the obvious choice for captaincy over the next week. Toney’s last 3 goals have come from the spot but you would have to fancy him to break his mini open play drought over this Easter period. 

Differential of the Week

Charlie Austin – QPR – 7.5m

GW39 – Coventry H

Austin and QPR play at home to a Coventry side that have not won away from home since 2nd January. Austin scored in his last home game, a 3-2 win vs Millwall and has a good chance to bag at home again in this fixture. 

Who’s Hot 

Norwich – Won 7 of last 8 – Norwich City form stats indicate an average number of goals conceded per game of 0.38 in the last 8 matches, which is 46.5% lower than their current season’s average.

Watford – 7 wins in last 8 – Watford form stats indicate an average number of goals scored per game of 2.13 in the last 8 matches, which is 46.9% higher than their current season’s average.

Barnsley – 6 wins in last 8 –  Barnsley form stats indicate an average number of goals scored per game of 1.88 in the last 8 matches, which is 45.7% higher than their current season’s average.

Who’s Not

Sheffield Wednesday – 6 defeats in 8 – Sheffield Wed form stats indicate an average number of goals conceded per game of 2.00 in the last 8 matches, which is 57.5% higher than their current season’s average.

Rotherham – 6 defeats in 8Rotherham form stats indicate an average number of goals scored per game of 0.75 in the last 8 matches, which is 33% lower than their current season’s average.

Preston – 5 defeats in 8Preston form stats indicate that in the last 8 matches the team’s points per game value has been averaging 0.63, which is 45.7% lower than their current season’s average.

Upcoming Doubles 

GW41 – Bournemouth, Huddersfield, QPR, Rotherham, Sheff Wednesday, Swansea

Aside from the above doubles Rotherham have at least 3 more remaining games left than the rest of the league, in many cases they have 4 more games left to play. 

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: