Gaffr Weekly – 18/03/2021
Player of the Week
Kasey Palmer – Bristol City – 4.4m
Palmer has picked up 19 points in the last week with a goal and assist in Bristol City’s 3-0 away at Birmingham in GW 36 followed up with a successive maximum performance bonus in the 0-0 with Blackburn in GW37. The midfielder seems to be enjoying life under new manager Nigel Pearson so far and with the Robins playing strugglers Rotherham and Coventry in 2 of their next 3 games there could be further opportunity for Palmer to add to his tally.
Team of the Week
Watford picked up maximum points in GW36 and GW37 with away wins at Cardiff and Rotherham. That’s now 7 wins in 8 for the Hornets who seem to be finding form at just the right time. Their goal output is steadily increasing however it can be difficult to predict where the Gaffr points will come from in their side. The 4-1 win vs Rotherham was a good example of this as nobody scored more than 11 points and the centre forward Joao Pedro failed to return at all. Their goals can even come from the back as Masina vs Cardiff and Sierralta vs Rotherham both scored in their 2 fixtures last week.
Pick of the Week
Emi Buendia – Norwich
GW38 – Blackburn H
Just one GW over the next week as we head into an international break and Norwich at home to Blackburn stands out to me as the safest game to put your armband. Norwich have won 8 games in a row now scoring 18 goals, while Blackburn have won only once in their last 8 keeping just 2 clean sheets.
Differential of the Week
Jack Hunt – Bristol City – 5.7m
GW38 – Rotherham H
Bristol City have kept back to back clean sheets now under new boss Nigel Pearson and have a good chance to make it 3 in a row at home to Rotherham who have lost 6 of the last 8 averaging just 0.75 goals a game in that run. Hunt has 2 goals and 2 assists this season and is the most likely Bristol City defender to pick up bonus points. Despite Bristol City being poor for a large chunk of the season he sits just off the 1st page for defenders on 149 points, ahead of popular picks such as Richards of Reading and Brittain at Barnsley.
Norwich – Won 8 of last 8 – Norwich City form stats indicate an average number of goals conceded per game of 0.25 in the last 8 matches, which is 64.3% lower than their current season’s average.
Watford – 7 wins in last 8 – Watford have scored in 94% of their home matches and their run-in features 5 more home games vs 4 away games.
Barnsley – 7 wins in last 8 – Barnsley have scored in each of their last 5 away matches and scored 2 goals or more in each of their last 3 away matches.
Ominously it is the current bottom 3 who are in the worst form in the league. Although Rotherham have games in hand on the teams above them their form suggests the relegation places could potentially already have taken shape.
Sheffield Wednesday – 7 defeats in 8 – With 35 points so far this season, Sheffield Wed have picked up 13 points less than they did last season after 36 matches, and their total in the current season is also 14 points lower than it was two seasons ago at the same stage.
Rotherham – 6 defeats in 8 – Rotherham form stats indicate an average number of goals scored per game of 0.75 in the last 8 matches, which is 31.2% lower than their current season’s average.
Wycombe Wanderers – 5 defeats in 8 – Wycombe form stats indicate an average number of goals scored per game of 0.38 in the last 8 matches, which is 44.1% lower than their current season’s average.
GW41 – Bournemouth, Huddersfield, QPR, Rotherham
GW38 – Bournemouth, Huddersfield
Don’t forget Bournemouth and Huddersfield blank this week!
Lee Bowyer is the new manager at Birmingham City after the sacking of Aitor Karanka. Bowyer got off to a winning start vs Reading in GW37. Bowyer did a good job on a small budget at Charlton and I’d expect him to keep the Bluenoses away from the relegation places over the remaining games.