DGW17 Review / GW18 Preview

DGW17 Review / 77pts / Grey Arrow = 380th

Transfers:

Carbone > Pires
Viduka > Angel
Savarese > Euell

I was very hesitant about doubling up on an Arsenal attack despite them being top of my Home Attacking Table. This was because they were up against two teams who were 1st and 3rd in the Away Defensive Table

Up until DGW17, out of the 18 clean-sheets that were recorded by teams on the road, Liverpool and Bolton were responsible for a 3rd of them (3 each). On the other side of the coin, Arsenal (at that point) were one of just six teams that were yet to blank at home. I sided with that fact that Arsenal were going to be Henry-less, and took more notice of the defensive away records for Liverpool and Bolton.

The reason I picked Pires out of all the other Arsenal attackers was that out of the 14 goals that Bolton and Liverpool had conceded on the road, 8 were scored by midfielders. That was my logic anyway, and it paid off as he brought in 32 of my 77pts via a well-placed captaincy.

For me, I deemed the Blackburn/Leeds game a tough fixture for Viduka. Blackburn had kept 4 consecutive clean-sheets at home, whilst Leeds had failed to score in the last 2. Angel, meanwhile, was up against the worst team in the Away Defensive Table in Millwall. 

In hindsight, it kind of made sense that a midfielder would fare better for Villa (in this case, Hendrie) due to Millwall conceding 21 attacking returns to midfielders on their travels (8 goals, 13 assists).

The Saverese/Euell move was just a punt based on simmed data. Millwall are also bottom of the Away Attacking Table whilst Euell had been returning consistently at home. It just made sense to me.

GW18 Review

The FDR’s

c:\user\U506717\Pictures\Screenshots\Screenshot (382).png

Attacking Tables

Defensive Tables

The Fixtures

Blackburn v Watford

Blackburn Attack v. Watford Defence

  • Blackburn sit 10th in the Attacking Table
  • Watford sit 10th in the Defending Table
  • Blackburn have only scored more than 2 goals on one occasion (3-0 v. CHA), but are one of 5 teams who have yet to fail to score at home
  • Watford have only conceded more than 2 goals on one occasion (1-3 v. new), but have only kept one clean-sheet (v. lei)
  • Blackburn have had over 60% of their attacking returns come from midfielders (all be it that de Boer is a midfielder often deployed up front)
  • Watford have conceded 55% of attacking returns to opposing midfielders (although opposing attackers have accounted for 41%)

Blackburn Defence v. Watford Attack

  • Blackburn sit 5th in the Defending Table
  • Watford sit 13th in the Attacking Table
  • Blackburn have only conceded more than 1 goal on one occasion (2-2 v. LEE), and had kept 4 consecutive clean-sheets prior
  • Watford have only scored more than 1 goal on one occasion (2-2 v. eve), but have only blanked twice on their travels (v. ars/lee)
  • Blackburn have conceded 45% of their attacking returns from opposing forwards, 33% against midfielders and 22% against defenders
  • Watford have had over 50% of their attacking returns come from midfielders, with 38% coming from their attackers.

Bolton v Middlesbrough

C:\Users\U506717\AppData\Local\Microsoft\Windows\INetCache\Content.Word\Screenshot (387).png

Bolton Attack v. Middlesbrough Defence

  • Bolton sit 20th in the Attacking Table
  • Middlesbrough sit 3rd in the Defending Table
  • Bolton have only scored more than 1 goal on two occasions (3 v. EVE / 2 v. NEW), and have blanked once (v. SUN)
  • Middlesbrough have only conceded more than 2 goals on two occasions (2 v. eve / 2 v. liv), but have only kept one clean-sheet (v. lee)
  • Bolton have had over 70% of their attacking returns come from forwards, with just 6% coming from midfield
  • Middlesbrough have only conceded 25% of opposing returns from attackers, with the main threat coming from midfield (43%)

Bolton Defence v. Middlesbrough Attack

  • Bolton sit 4th in the Defending Table
  • Middlesbrough sit 2nd in the Attacking Table
  • Bolton have kept 5 clean-sheets, conceding 2 on just one occasion (0-2 v. SUN)
  • Middlesbrough have scored more than 1 goal in 5/8 games, and are the only team who are yet to fail to score on their travels
  • Bolton have conceded an equal split of 38% of attacking returns against midfielders and forwards (despite only conceding 4 goals at home)
  • Middlesbrough have had an equal split of 41% of attacking returns between their midfielders and forwards

Chelsea – Man Utd

C:\Users\U506717\AppData\Local\Microsoft\Windows\INetCache\Content.Word\Screenshot (390).png

Chelsea Attack v. Man Utd Defence

  • Chelsea sit 9th in the Attacking Table
  • Man Utd sit 11th in the Defending Table
  • Chelsea have scored 2 or more goals in 6/8 games, but have blanked in their other two games (v. BLA / BOL)
  • Man Utd have conceded 2 or more goals in 5/8 away games, and are yet to keep a clean-sheet
  • Chelsea have had 42% of their attacking returns come from midfielders, with 32% from their forwards.
  • Man Utd have only conceded 43% of opposing returns from midfielders, and 37% from opposing forwards.

Chelsea Defence v. Man Utd Attack

  • Chelsea sit 7th in the Defending Table
  • Man Utd sit 4th in the Attacking Table
  • Chelsea have kept 5 clean-sheets, conceding 2 on just one occasion (0-2 v. BOL)
  • Man Utd have scored 2 or more goals in 3/8 away games (3 v. cha / 4 v. der / 4 v. tot) and have blanked twice (v. mci / mid)
  • Chelsea have not conceded any goals against opposing strikers, with 87% of returns conceded from opposing midfielders.
  • Man Utd have had 52% of their attacking returns come from midfield, with 37% from their forwards.

Ipswich – Newcastle

Ipswich Attack v. Newcastle Defence

  • Ipswich sit 16th in the Attacking Table
  • Newcastle sit 17th in the Defending Table
  • Ipswich have scored 2 or more goals in 4/8 games, but have blanked twice (v. LEI / LIV)
  • Newcastle have conceded 2 or more goals in every single away game so far this season
  • Ipswich have had 58% of their attacking returns come from midfielders, with just 20% coming from their forwards.
  • Newcastle have only conceded exactly 50% of opposing returns from forwards, and 31% from opposing midfielders.

Ipswich Defence v. Newcastle Attack

  • Ipswich sit 16th in the Defending Table
  • Newcastle sit 16th in the Attacking Table
  • Ipswich have conceded 2 or more goals in 4/8 games, and are yet to keep a clean-sheet
  • Newcastle have only scored more than 1 goal on one occasion (4 v. lei) and are on a run of 4 games without a goal
  • Ipswich have conceded 68% of their attacking returns from opposing midfielders, with just 24% from opposing strikers.
  • Newcastle have had 60% of their attacking returns come from their forwards, with 30% from their midfielders (although they have only scored 6 goals).

Leeds – Leicester

Leeds Attack v. Leicester Defence

  • Leeds sit 11th in the Attacking Table
  • Leicester sit 6th in the Defending Table
  • Leeds have scored 2 or more goals in 5/8 games, and have blanked just once (0-2 v. MID)
  • Leicester have conceded 2 or more goals in 5/8 away games….. all of which have come in the last 5 games. Their only clean-sheet was in GW1 (2-0 v. ips)
  • Leeds have had 42% of their attacking returns come from forwards, with 32% coming from their defenders.
  • Leicester have only conceded an equal split of 47% of their conceded goals between opposing midfielders and forwards.

Leeds Defence v. Leicester Attack

  • Leeds sit 3rd in the Defending Table
  • Leicester sit 15th in the Attacking Table
  • Leeds have conceded 2 or more goals in just one game (0-2 v. MID), and have kept 5 clean-sheets.
  • Leicester have scored 2 or more goals on just two occasions (2-0 v. lei / 3-1 v. cha) and have blanked in 4/8 away games.
  • Leeds have conceded exactly 50% of attacking returns against opposing forwards, with 37% coming from defenders (all be it, they have only conceded 4 goals)
  • Leicester have had 67% of their attacking returns come from their midfielders, with 25% coming from their forwards

Liverpool – Everton

Liverpool Attack v. Everton Defence

  • Liverpool sit 4th in the Attacking Table
  • Everton sit 13th in the Defending Table
  • Liverpool have scored 2 or more goals in 5/8 games, and are yet to blank.
  • Everton have conceded 2 or more goals in 6/8 away games and are yet to keep a clean-sheet
  • Liverpool have had 44% of their attacking returns come from forwards, closely followed by 41% from their midfielders.
  • Everton have, coincidently, conceded 44% of their attacking returns from opposing forwards and 41% from opposing midfielders. Spooky!

Liverpool Defence v. Everton Attack

  • Liverpool sit 11th in the Defending Table
  • Everton sit 18th in the Attacking Table
  • Liverpool have conceded 2 or more goals on three occasions (1-2 v. TOT / 2-3 v. CHE / 5-2 v. AST) but have kept 3 clean-sheets
  • Everton have scored 2 or more goals on just one occasion (4-2 v. cha) but have blanked in 6/8 away games.
  • Liverpool have conceded exactly 52% of attacking returns from opposing midfielders, with an equal split of 24% coming from opposing forwards and defenders.
  • Everton have had 50% of their attacking returns come from their forwards, with an equal split of 25% coming from mid/def (although they have only scored 5 away goals)

Sunderland – Aston Villa

Sunderland Attack v. Aston Villa Defence

  • Sunderland sit 15th in the Attacking Table
  • Aston Villa sit 12th in the Defending Table
  • Sunderland have scored 2 or more goals in 4/8 games, and have blanked just once (0-0 v. LEE)
  • Aston Villa have conceded 2 or more goals in 4/8 games and are yet to keep a clean-sheet
  • Sunderland have had 52% of their attacking returns come from midfielders, with 36% from their forwards.
  • Aston Villa have conceded 44% of their attacking returns to opposing forwards, with 40% from opposing midfielders

Sunderland Defence v. Aston Villa Attack

  • Sunderland sit 6th in the Defending Table
  • Aston Villa sit 14th in the Attacking Table
  • Sunderland have conceded 2 or more goals on two occasions (2-2 v. TOT, 1-3 v. MID) but have kept 6/8 clean-sheets.
  • Aston Villa have scored 2 or more goals on just two occasions (2-1 v. cha / 2-5 v. liv) and have blanked 3 times on the road.
  • Sunderland have conceded 78% of attacking returns from opposing midfielders (although they have conceded just 5 goals)
  • Aston Villa have had 46% of their attacking returns come from their midfielders, with 39% coming from their forwards

Man City – Derby

Man City Attack v. Derby Defence

  • Man City sit 18th in the Attacking Table
  • Derby sit 18th in the Defending Table
  • Man City have scored 2 or more goals in 5/8 games, and have blanked just once (0-2 v. BLA)
  • Derby have conceded 2 or more goals in 7/8 games and are yet to keep a clean-sheet
  • Man City have had 45% of their attacking returns come from midfielders, with 36% from their attackers.
  • Derby have conceded 57% of their attacking returns to opposing midfielders, with only 19% from opposing forwards.

Man City Defence v. Derby Attack

  • Man City sit 9th in the Defending Table
  • Derby sit 11th in the Attacking Table
  • Man City have conceded 2 or more goals on three occasions (2-2 v. SUN / 1-3 v. IPS / 0-2 v. BLA) and have kept 4/8 clean-sheets.
  • Derby have scored 2 or more goals in 3 games (2-3 v. tot / 2-2 v. new / 2-1 v. eve) and have blanked just twice (0-3 v. mid / 0-2 v. bla)
  • Man City have conceded 46% of attacking returns from opposing midfielders, with 38% from attackers
  • Derby have had 53% of their attacking returns come from their midfielders, with just 29% coming from their forwards

Millwall – Arsenal

c:\user\U506717\Pictures\Screenshots\Screenshot (401).png
c:\user\U506717\Pictures\Screenshots\Screenshot (402).png

Millwall Attack v. Arsenal Defence

  • Millwall sit 8th in the Attacking Table
  • Arsenal sit 9th in the Defending Table
  • Millwall have scored 2 or more goals in 5/8 games, and have blanked just once (0-1 v. BOL)
  • Arsenal have conceded 2 or more goals in 6/8 games but kept their first clean-sheet in their last away game (2-0 v. tot)
  • Millwall have had 55% of their attacking returns come from midfielders, with just 29% from their attackers.
  • Arsenal have conceded 46% of their attacking returns to opposing forwards, with 39% from opposing midfielders.

Millwall Defence v. Arsenal Attack

  • Millwall sit 12th in the Defending Table
  • Arsenal sit 12th in the Attacking Table
  • Millwall have conceded 2 or more goals on two occasions (3-2 v. MCI / 1-2 v. LIV) but have only kept one clean-sheet (3-0 v. IPS).
  • Arsenal have scored 2 or more goals in just two games (4-2 v. der / 2-0 v. tot) and have blanked in 4/8 games
  • Millwall have conceded an equal split of 44% of attacking returns from opposing midfielders and forwards
  • Arsenal have had 63% of their attacking returns come from their midfielders, with just 25% coming from their forwards

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: